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| BIG 2023! ASA runs thru July 16th: All Sports 42 games over .500 and UP $14,560 in 2023! NBA Tops long-term +$55,600 (+100 games)! NHL long-term +$38,240 (+44 games)! CFB 72-49 (+$18,180). MLB Sides 43-27 in 2023. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| WNBA | May 20, 2024 Storm vs. Liberty |
Liberty -10 -109 at BETVEGAS |
in 16h |
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ASA play on New York Liberty -10 vs. Seattle Storm, 7 PM ET - The Liberty have a clear scheduling advantage here with a day of rest compared to the Storm who are playing the second of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. New York was 15-5 SU at home last season, the Storm were 7-13 SU away. Seattle has gotten off to a slow start this season, the Liberty are off to a 3-0 start. New York failed to cover the season opener against Washington, who has exceeded expectations, then beat the Fever twice badly. Seattle will be playing their third straight road game where they have had their fair share of struggles. The Storm had the 3rd worst Net differential on the road a year ago at -5.9 and had an average loss margin away from home of -4.6PPG. With the scheduling advantage we like the Liberty big in this one. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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WNBA | May 19, 2024 Storm vs Mystics |
Mystics +5½ -110 at Mirage |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASA WNBA play on #616 Washington Mystics +5.5 vs Seattle Storm, 3 PM ET - The Storm have underachieved this season with an 0-2 ATS record as they’ve been overpriced in both games this season. The Storm were favored by -7.5 points in the season opener and lost by 13 outright. In Game 2 of the season, they were favored by -1.5 at Minnesota and lost again by 9-points. Washington is the exact reverse. The Mystic are 0-2 SU but have covered both games of the season against two of the leagues better teams in New York and Connecticut. Washington played the Liberty extremely well in the season opener losing by just 5-points at home as a +11.5-point underdog. On Friday they traveled to Connecticut to face the Sun and lost by 7 as an 8-point pooch. Last season the Mystic beat this Storm team three times by +7, +6 and +7. The wrong team is favored here and we like the host to win this game outright. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 19, 2024 Padres vs Braves |
Braves -114 at YouWager |
Lost $114.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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#912 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Braves -115 over San Diego Padres, Sunday at 7 PM ET - Yesterday's game was rained out and will be made up as part of a double header tomorrow on Monday. As for today on Sunday, the pitching match-up is expected to be Yu Darvish facing Bryce Elder. Before we dig deeper into that, let's start by talking about the team situation here which certainly seems to favor the Braves in this spot. The Padres took Game 1 of this series Friday but that followed 3 straight losses and defeats in 4 of 5 games. Also, the 4 losses were by a combined score of 24 to 7. The point is that the Padres have not looked good of late. The Braves are now suddenly off B2B losses but this followed wins in 6 of 7 and those 6 victories were by a combined score of 16 to 5. We like the overall team edge here too with Atlanta 15-6 at home this season plus having gone 17-6 in games against teams with a losing record this season. San Diego is a game under .500 this season and their bullpen ranks in the middle of the pack this season for ERA but the Braves rank as one of the league's best for bullpen ERA. The Padres have a .342 slugging percentage the L15 days which ranks among the worst in the league. The Braves have a .420 slugging percentage at home this season which ranks 3rd in the NL. The Padres have Darvish on the mound and he has been strong this season overall but this is leading to line value here with him on the road where he tends to not pitch as well. Darvish entered this season with a 16-16 record in his road outings last 4 seasons. Elder has been great at home and had a 2.45 ERA in 4 starts there in his rookie season and has a 1.50 ERA in his 2 starts at home this season plus he went 7-1 at home last season! Many indicators in favor of the home team at a low price in this one. Lay it! |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | May 19, 2024 Pacers vs Knicks |
OVER 207½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASA top play on 10* OVER 207.5 Indiana Pacers at NY Knicks, 3:30 PM ET - The value in this number is obvious as the last time these two teams met on this floor the O/U was set at 217.5. We are literally 10-full points lower now and will have to step in with an Over wager. One of these two teams has scored 116 or more points in every game of this series. We have had four games where one of the two put up 120 or more points. Even with one of the two getting blown out in a game they have still combined to score more than this O/U number in every game. They are attempting 173.5 field goals per game which is high by playoff standards. In fact, in the regular season the average FGA’s per game was slightly higher than 177 and those games averaged over 228 total points per game. New York is averaging nearly 112PPG in this series, the Pacers are averaging 112.8PPG. Both teams are shooting well with the Pacers making 51.5% of their shots overall, 40.9% from beyond the arc. New York is hitting 46.9% of their field goal attempts and 38.2% from Deep. Historically, Game 7’s are Under bets but this number has been over-adjusted and we like the value with an Over play. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten. ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry. Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins! |
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