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Jack Jones Jack Jones
No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900! Get yourself a long-term premium package today!
20* AFC North GAME OF THE MONTH! (7-0 System)

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack releases his 20* AFC North GAME OF THE MONTH for just $39.95 Sunday! This is the best bet in the AFC North for the entire month of October behind a PERFECT 7-0 System in his analysis that simply cannot miss!

GUARANTEED or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack! (222-162 NFL Run)

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack went 5-1 last Sunday that included a 4-1 day in pro football! This money train stays right on track in Week 7 with Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his ONE & ONLY 25* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR along with his 20* AFC North GAME OF THE MONTH! You'll also receive his 15* Bucs/Raiders NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT upon purchase tonight!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 3 NFL Spread picks

15* Bucs/Raiders NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT! (6-0 System)

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack is ready to send you to bed a winner with his 15* Bucs/Raiders NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT for just $34.95! He has the winning side in this game NAILED tonight behind a PERFECT 6-0 System in his analysis!

GUARANTEED or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

25* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR! (ONE & ONLY)

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack cashed in his last 25* GOTY in the NFL on the Dolphins +8.5 in a 43-17 win over the 49ers! He comes back with his ONE & ONLY 25* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR for just $49.95 Sunday! This is his biggest release of the ENTIRE 2020 season in AFC vs. NFC action folks, so DO NOT be shy with your wagers!

It's GUARANTEED to get the money or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

20* MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH! (50-27 MNF Run, 48-27 NFL Totals Run)

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack is the KING of Monday Night Football with a 50-27 MNF Run over his last 77 releases! He is also on a 48-27 NFL Totals Run! He releases his 20* MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH in the Bears/Rams battle Monday night! This bad boy is backed by SWEET 10-1 & 6-0 Totals Systems in his analysis to completely eliminate the guess work!

It's GUARANTEED to get the money or the next day of football is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 1-Day All Sports Pass!

With this package you will receive EVERY SINGLE PLAY released by Jack Jones in all sports for one day. You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next of of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 3 NFL picks

Jack Jones 3-Day All Sports Pass!

This is one of the most popular packages sold on Friday and Saturday during the football season. You get EVERY single play I release in EVERY sport for three consecutive days with nothing more to buy! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 3 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

Jack Jones 7-Day All Sports Pass!

Looking for a little more value? Pick up Jack's weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS for the PRICE OF THREE! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site as you'll get EVERY SINGLE PLAY Jack releases for the entire week. You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 7 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

Jack Jones 30-Day All Sports Pass! ($1,400.00 DISCOUNT)

Want to SAVE A TON of money? Then check out Jack's one month package. You'll get 30 days of winners in all sports while SAVING $1,400.00 off the cost of 30 daily packages ($60.00 times 30 = $1800). Of course, Jack GUARANTEES PROFITS or the next 30 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

Jack Jones 90-Day All Sports Pass!

This package gets you three months (90 Days) of all picks in all sports! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 90 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

Jack Jones 180-Day All Sports Pass!

This package gets you every play in every sport for a full 6 months! The ultimate package for maximum action and the biggest winners in the industry! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 180 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

Jack Jones 365-Day All Sports Pass! (ONLY $4.11/Day)

If you are looking for AS CLOSE TO A SURE THING AS YOU'LL FIND in sports handicapping then grab a year of picks from Jack Jones. You'll learn how the pros make a living through sports betting with EVERY PLAY Jack releases over the next 365 days. Plus, you pay ONLY $4.11/DAY to bet alongside the best handicapper in the business! Jack is so sure he'll profit that he GUARANTEES it or the next 365 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2020-21 College Football Season Pass! (#2 CFB All-Time)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1179-978 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,280! That includes a 503-381 Football Run over his last 884 plays!

No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered FIVE Top-9 CFB Finishes L8 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18, #4 2018-19) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 654-521 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $84,500!

Get Jack's 2020-21 College Football Season Pass for $349.95 and bet with the most consistent college football capper over the past eight seasons! You'll crush your book on the NCAA gridiron through the four-team playoff!

No picks available.

MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2020 MLB Playoffs Pass! (324-264 MLB Run)

Jack Jones has FOUR Top-10 MLB Finishes (#7 2019, #10 2014, #5 2010, #5 2009) to his credit! He is riding a 324-264 MLB Run since March 31st, 2018 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $28,800!

Crush your book on the bases once again this postseason and sign up for Jack's 2020 MLB Playoffs Pass for $99.95! You will receive all of his MLB premium plays from today through the World Series!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2020-21 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO! (#3 Football All-Time)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1179-978 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,280! That includes a 503-381 Football Run over his last 884 plays!

No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered FIVE Top-9 CFB Finishes L8 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18, #4 2018-19) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 654-521 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $84,500!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 221-161 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,560!

Come get your hands on his 2020-21 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO for $499.95! It would cost you roughly $700 to buy his CFB ($349.95) and NFL ($349.95) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $200.00 with this combo pass! This package will earn you all of Jack's NFL & CFB picks THROUGH SUPER BOWL 55!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2020-21 NFL Season Pass! (221-161 NFL Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1179-978 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,280! That includes a 503-381 Football Run over his last 884 plays!long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $84,500!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 221-161 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,560!

Come get your hands on his 2020-21 NFL Season Pass for $349.95! This package will earn you all of his NFL picks THROUGH SUPER BOWL 55!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 25, 2020
Steelers vs. Titans
Steelers
-1½ -104
  at  PINNACLE
in 9h

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

The Tennessee Titans are one of the most fraudulent 5-0 teams in the history of the NFL.  They have four wins all by 6 points or fewer against the Broncos, Jaguars, Vikings and Texans, who are a combined 5-18 on the season.  And even their win over the Bills was misleading as they were outgained by 36 yards in that contest.

The Titans will get exposed this week by a legitimate 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers team.  The Steelers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season with all five wins by 5 points or more and by an average of 12.4 points per game.  They are outgaining opponents by 72.8 yards per game on the season, which is the sign of an elite team.

Pittsburgh’s offense is back to its offense of old with a healthy Big Ben running the show.  The Steelers are averaging 31.2 points per game on the season.  They have one of the best defenses in the NFL in giving up just 18.8 points and 285.2 yards per game.  And they have the recipe to stop the Titans, which is stopping Derrick Henry.  They give up just 66 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.

And that’s the biggest difference between these teams.  One has a defense and one doesn’t.  The Titans give up 25.2 points and 409.8 yards per game this season.  That’s 6.4 points and 124.6 yards per game more than the Steelers allow.  The Steelers are rightful favorites here because of their edge on defense and should be 3-point favorites or more.

Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS off a home win over the last three seasons.  The Steelers are 10-2 ATS vs. terrible pass defenses that allow a completion percentage of 64% or higher over the last three seasons.  Pittsburgh is 52-25-2 ATS in its last 79 October games.  Bet the Steelers Sunday.

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He is riding a 222-162 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $42,460!

Jack went 5-1 last Sunday that included a 4-1 day in pro football! This money train stays right on track in Week 7 with Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his ONE & ONLY 25* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR along with his 20* AFC North GAME OF THE MONTH! You'll also receive his 15* Bucs/Raiders NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT upon purchase tonight!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 24, 2020
Dodgers vs Rays
Dodgers
-163 at betonline
Lost
$163.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Dodgers/Rays World Series No-Brainer on Los Angeles -163 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing with a ton of confidence right now.  They have won five of their last six with three of those being elimination games against the Atlanta Braves last series.  They feel invincible right now. 

I definitely am willing to lay the prices with the Dodgers when Kershaw, Buehler and Urias are pitching.  Well, Urias takes the ball for Game 4 and is fresh having not pitched in this series yet.  He has been lethal as a starter and out of the bullpen. 

Indeed, Urias is 3-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in 2020.  He has allowed just one earned run in 16 innings this postseason for a 0.56 ERA.  And he has excelled in the postseason over the last four years, going 6-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.884 WHIP across 31 2/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers Saturday. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Georgia State vs Troy
Georgia State
+2½ -105 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Georgia State +2.5

Shawn Elliott is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country.  He has gotten Georgia State to a bowl game in two of his first three seasons on the job.  And now he is in Year 4 here with his best team yet and 16 returning starters.

I really like what I’ve seen from the Panthers so far.  They are just 1-2 but could easily be 3-0.  They lost in overtime to Louisiana 31-34 as 17-point dogs.  That’s a Louisiana team that is among the favorites to win the Sun Belt.  They crushed East Carolina 49-29 as 1.5-point dogs.  And they took Arkansas State to the wire in a 52-59 loss as 3.5-point road dogs.  That’s a Red Wolves team that is perennially a contender in the Sun Belt as well.

Now Georgia State gets to take a step down in class here against the Troy Trojans.  The Trojans went 5-7 last year and missed a bowl in Chip Lindsey’s first season on the job.  And things don’t look much better in 2020 despite the fact that Troy is off to a 3-1 start.

The Trojans have feasted on an easy schedule for their three wins.  They beat a Middle Tennessee State team that is just 1-5 right now.  They beat a Texas State team that is also 1-5.  And they barely escaped with a 31-29 win over FCS foe Eastern Kentucky as a 27.5-point home favorite last week.  Troy lost its step up game badly in a 7-48 setback at BYU as 14-point dogs.  And Georgia State is easily the 2nd-best team they will have faced outside BYU.

Georgia State crushed Troy 52-33 as a 1.5-point home favorite last year.  And considering they return 16 starters while Troy only have 13 back and loses stud QB Kaleb Barker, I think we see a repeat in their 2020 rematch.  No question the Panthers have been the more impressive team thus far against a much tougher schedule.

Troy is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after going under the total in its last three games.  The Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win.  Troy is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Panthers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Georgia State Saturday.

No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 38 months! He is riding a 1696-1430 Run L1141 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $136,900!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1181-980 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $104,100! That includes a 505-383 Football Run over his last 888 plays!

No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered FIVE Top-9 CFB Finishes L8 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18, #4 2018-19) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 655-522 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $84,420!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Saturday College Football 5-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a trio of top play winners in his 20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH, his 20* Notre Dame/Pitt ACC No-Brainer and his 20* Iowa State/Oklahoma State Big 12 No-Brainer! You'll also receive two 15* plays upon purchase!

It would cost you roughly $190.00 to buy all five plays separately, so YOU SAVE $130.00 with this 5-Pack! Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Sunday NFL is ON JACK!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
South Carolina vs LSU
OVER 55 -108 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* CFB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on South Carolina/LSU OVER 55

Many expected LSU’s offense to drop off dramatically without Joe Burrow this season.  But they have been just fine on that side of the ball this season.  The problem has been on the defensive side for the Tigers.  So I like the OVER 55 points here in this matchup with South Carolina.

LSU is scoring 38.7 points and averaging 467.3 yards per game this season.  Defensively, the Tigers have been pitiful in giving up 32.0 points and 494.7 yards per game.  So they are combining with their opponents for 70.7 points per game this season, which is much higher than this 55-point total.

South Carolina is improved offensively this season in averaging 30.5 points per game.  Their defense has been average in giving up 24.5 points per game.  The Gamecocks will get their points against this LSU defense, but they will be up against the best offense they have faced this season maybe outside Florida, which lit them up for 38 points.

The OVER is 8-1 in Gamecocks last nine games after gaining fewer than 170 passing yards in their previous game.  The OVER is 4-1 in Tigers last five games overall.  The OVER is 4-0 in Tigers last four games after allowing more than 450 yards in their previous game.  The forecast is great scoring conditions too with 84 degrees and only 7 MPH wins Saturday in Baton Rouge.  Take the OVER in this game Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Michigan vs Minnesota
Minnesota
+3 -102 at pinnacle
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

15* Michigan/Minnesota Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +3

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are coming off an impressive 11-2 season in PJ Fleck’s third year on the job last season.  It concluded with an upset win over Auburn in the Outback Bowl.  Fleck is proving he is one of the best coaches in college football with what he did at Western Michigan and now what he’s already doing at Minnesota.

Fleck welcomes back 13 starters this season.  He’ll have yet another great offense with nine starters back from a unit that put up 34.1 points and 432 yards per game.  The defense will take a step back with only four starters back, but Fleck has fielded a good defense in all three of his seasons here not once allowing more than 26.5 points per game, and roughly 22 points per game in two of the three seasons.

Jim Harbaugh remains one of the most overrated head coaches in the country.  Last year Michigan was supposed to win the Big Ten with all they had returning, but they fell flat and finished 9-4 after getting crushed by Alabama in the bowl.  Now this is one of his worst, least-experienced teams yet with only 11 returning starters.  The Wolverines lose their top three tacklers on defense and QB Shea Patterson.  They will be going with Dylan McCaffrey, who did not play well in limited action last year at quarterback.

Since 2006, Michigan is 1-20 SU on the road vs. ranked teams and losing by an average of 15 points per game.  The Wolverines are also 6-15 ATS in this spot and failing to cover by 8 points per game.  Enough said.  Bet Minnesota Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State
Iowa State
+3½ -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Iowa State/Oklahoma State Big 12 No-Brainer on Iowa State +3.5

The Iowa State Cyclones have bounced back nicely from their fluky loss to Louisiana in the opener.  They have gone 3-0 in Big 12 play and faced the gauntlet.  They took care of TCU on the road, upset Oklahoma 37-30 as a 7.5-point home dog and crushed Texas Tech 31-15 as a 9.5-point home favorite in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score would indicate.  They had 516 yards of total offense and one of Texas Tech’s two touchdowns came on a blocked FG return TD.

Oklahoma State couldn’t have played a much softer schedule to this point.  They were actually outgained by Tulsa in their 16-7 win in their opener.  Their 27-13 win over WVU was much closer than the final score would indicate as they were outgained by 11 yards by the Mountaineers.  And their blowout win over Kansas is nothing to be proud of because everyone is crushing Kansas this season.

Home-field advantage has meant nothing in this series in recent meetings.  The road team is 4-1 SU & in the last five meetings.  Iowa State won 48-42 as 10-point dogs two years ago at Oklahoma State.  And I fully expect the Cyclones to pull the ‘upset’ here.  It won’t be an upset to me because the Cyclones are the best team in the Big 12 in my opinion.

Iowa State is 20-7-1 ATS in its last 28 games as an underdog.  Matt Campbell is 21-8 ATS as an underdog as the coach of Iowa State.  Campbell is 15-2 ATS in October games as the coach of the Cyclones.  Iowa State is 7-0 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games over the last three seasons.  The Cyclones only give up 97 rushing yards and 2.9 per carry this season, so they have what it takes to shut down Chuba Hubbard and Oklahoma State’s rushing attack.  Roll with Iowa State Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
+11 -110 at jazz
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Notre Dame/Pitt ACC No-Brainer on Pittsburgh +11

It’s a great time to ‘buy low’ on the Pittsburgh Panthers this week.  They have lost three straight after opening the season 3-0.  Two of the losses came by exactly one point each, so they are very close to being a 5-1 team.

Last week they failed to cover as 11.5-point closing dogs in a 12-point loss to Miami.  Me and my clients cashed in Pitt +13.5 earlier in the week, so they cashed for us.  And I’m back on them again this week for many of the same reason.

Like I stated before, Pitt could easily be 5-1 right now and are undervalued because of their 3-3 record.  They have one of the best defenses in the country, which keeps them in games.  They give up just 20.3 points, 275 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play on the season.

Pitt’s offense has been shaky at times, but they are still putting up a solid 29.3 points per game.  I know starting QB Kenny Pickett did not play last week and is questionable to return this week.  But backup Joey Yellen played well against a good Miami defense last week.  He threw for 277 yards and a touchdown in his Pitt debut.  Another week of practice here will do the Arizona State transfer wonders.  And there’s a chance Pickett plays, which would only be a bonus.

This is as much of a fade of Notre Dame as it is a play on Pitt this week.  The Fighting Irish are ranked 3rd in the country right now, but they are nowhere near the 3rd-best team in the country.  It has them overvalued being ranked this high.

Notre Dame only beat Duke by 14, failed to cover as 20.5-point favorites against Florida State and only beat Louisville by 5 last week as 15.5-point favorites.  That gives Pitt and Notre Dame a common opponent in Louisville.  Pitt beat Louisville 23-20 but it was a bigger blowout than the score would indicate.  The Panthers outgained the Cardinals by 153 yards.  Notre Dame only outgained Louisville by 105 yards in their 12-7 win last week.

So you could make the argument that Pitt is actually the better team based on that head-to-head comparison.  And they certainly aren’t 11 points worse than Notre Dame.  Their defense will keep them in this game, just as it did last time these teams met in 2018.  Pitt only lost 14-19 as 21-point road underdogs.  The Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Now Pitt gets Notre Dame at home, and this will be the first road game of the season for the Fighting Irish, which is always a tough situation.

Notre Dame is 9-25 ATS in its last 34 games vs. good defensive teams that give up 285 or fewer yards per game.  The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Pitt is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in its previous game.  There’s a ton of value on the Panthers catching double-digits at home this weekend.  Take Pittsburgh Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Middle Tennessee State vs Rice
Rice
-3½ -107 at BMaker
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Conference USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Rice -3.5

The Rice Owls should be one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  Mike Bloomgren came over from Stanford and has turned the Owls into a poor man’s version of the Cardinal.  And now Bloomgren is in Year 3 with all of his players in place to run his schemes.  They have 17 returning starters.

After starting 0-9 last year with four losses by a single score, the Owls went 3-0 inter final three games with upset victories over Middle Tennessee and North Texas as well as a crushing of UTEP.  Now the Owls have a ton of momentum heading into 2020 and can’t wait to show the college football world how improved they are.  I like their chances of making a bowl game for the first time since 2014.

Now the Owls finally get to play their opener against one of the worst teams in college football in Middle Tennessee, a team they upset last year as 14-point dogs.  Middle Tennessee is 1-5 this season with its only victory coming against a bad FIU team by a final of 31-28.  They are getting outscored by 15.7 points per game on the season.

Rice is a power-running team that will be able to run the football at will on a soft Middle Tennessee defense that is giving up 256 rushing yards per game and 5.6 per carry.  They allowed 52 points, 768 total yards and 462 rushing yards to a terrible North Texas team last week in a 35-52 loss.

Plays against again team (Middle Tennessee) - a poor team outscored by 7 or more points per game, after scoring 31 or more points in two straight games are 37-10 (78.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet Rice Saturday.

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