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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Cincinnati vs SMU
SMU
-2½ -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Free

PICK - SMU Mustangs -2.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 348

I played against SMU last week at Tulane and cashed a winner with the Green Wave +6.5. I'm not saying Tulane was the wrong side. They never trailed by more than 3 the either game. However, the Mustangs did outgain the Green Wave 581 to 387.

I had big concerns with SMU's offense in the first game without their top wide out in Reggie Roberson. SMU's passing attack didn't miss a beat. Former Texas starter Shane Buechele went 23 of 37 for 384 yards and 2 scores. SMU had 3 different receivers record 100+ receiving yards.

I just think this offense is going to score no matter who they line up against. That includes Cincinnati, who many think have one of the best defenses in the ACC. I'm not saying the Mustangs are going to score 40+, but I could see them in the mid 30's.

As for the Bearcats offense, I've not been impressed with what I've seen. They come in averaging 35.7 ppg, but it's come against Austin Peay, Army and USF. Also, those 3 teams on average have given up 34.0 ppg.

Last time out the Bearcats only managed 28 points against an awful South Florida defense and to top it off they turned it over 4 times. That's now 7 turnovers in 3 games against some pretty mediocre competition. Those all 3 were at home. Hard to see it improving on the road, especially in a prime time game like this one (8 pm kickoff).

Another key factor here is the line. It's pretty rare in ranked matchups that you see a team ranked in the Top 10 (Cincinnati No. 9) getting points against a team that's ranked much lower (SMU is No. 16). Give me the Mustangs -2.5!

**RED-HOT 58% (89-65) ALL-SPORTS RUN** Brandon Lee continues his onslaught on the books. The 2017 SportsCapping Champion adds to his MASSIVE 58% (126-90) HOT STREAK!

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Houston vs Navy
Houston
-14 -105 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* HOUSTON/NAVY NCAAF *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Houston -14) 

I absolutely love Houston as a mere 14-point favorite against Navy. I think we are getting a great price on the Cougars after last week's 26-43 loss at home to BYU. The end result was not great, but they did lead No. 14 BYU 26-14 late in the 3rd quarter. That's a really good Cougars team that has a future NFL QB in Zach Wilson running their offense. 

I just think the talent gap between Houston and Navy is substantial and I would argue the Cougars are one of the better teams not ranked in the Top 25 right now. 

Navy has gone 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4, but could easily be 0-5 both SU and ATS. They beat Tulane 27-24 as a 5.5-point dog despite trailing 24-0 at the half. They squeaked out a 31-29 win over Temple as a 3.5-poing dog and defeated ECU 27-23 as a 3-point favorite. This team has also lost 55-3 to BYU (which I think is a great indicator for Houston) and 40-7 to Air Force. 

Key here is Houston has the guys up front to stop this Navy rushing attack in its tracks and should be able to score at will offensively, as the Midshipmen are giving up a ridiculous 274 yards/game and 6.1 yards/carry vs the run this year. Navy also can't play from behind, so the margin should only grow as this one goes on. Give me the Cougars -14! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Iowa vs Purdue
Iowa
-3 -105 at betonline
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

40* IOWA/PURDUE NCAAF DOMINATION (Iowa -3) 

I like the price here with the Hawkeyes as a slim 3-point road favorite against Purdue. The Boilermakers will be without head coach Jeff Brohm because of Covid and I just think that's a big hurdle for them to overcome against an Iowa team that I think is flying a bit under the radar in 2020. 

The big question mark with Iowa is they go from a 3-year starter to an unknown at quarterback. Thing is, Iowa has what looks to be one of the better o-lines in the Big Ten and have great talent back at the skill positions. They are also rock solid on defense under Ferentz. Hawkeyes haven't allowed more than 20.4 ppg in each of the last 5 years. 

The other big thing here is the lack of fans. Only family members are being allowed to attend Big Ten games. I think it has the road teams showing some value, as this would be a much different handicap if it was going to be sold out Ross-Ade Stadium. Iowa is the better team on both sides. Give me the Hawkeyes -3! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Nebraska vs Ohio State
OVER 67½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* NEBRASKA/OHIO ST NCAAF KNOCKOUT (Over 67.5) 

I think we are going to see a ton of points on the scoreboard in the Big Ten opener between Nebraska and Ohio State. Ohio State score 46.9 ppg in 2019 and are loaded once again with junior quarterback Justin Fields back. They put up 48 points and 580 yards last year on Nebraska and should have similar success against a Cornhuskers defense that only brings back 5 starters (have to replace all 3 defensive linemen and 5 total in the front 7. 

The key here for me is I think Nebraska is going to be able to score some points. They got 10 starters back on offense with an experienced junior QB in Adrian Martinez (21 starts). Ohio State is going to have a good defense, but I don't think it will be as good as last year when they gave up just 13.7 ppg. They lost a lot from that side of the ball, including the best defensive player in college in Chase Young. 

Two other factors here that I think help push this over. First, I believe Ohio State has a ton of incentive here to run up the score. They need style points to try and make up for the time missed with the Big Ten starting so late. The other is the lack of fans, which definitely makes matters a lot easier on that Nebraska offense. Play the OVER 67.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
NC State vs North Carolina
North Carolina
-14½ -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* NC STATE/N CAROLINA NCAAF NO-BRAINER (N Carolina -14.5) 

I think the line here really says it all. You don't normally see a Top 25 matchup with a team laying more than two touchdowns, especially when both teams are ranked outside of the Top 10. More times than not, the big favorite not only covers, but wins going away. That's exactly what I expect to happen in this one. 

North Carolina is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after last week's upset loss to FSU. Give credit to the Seminoles for getting that win, but the Tar Heels definitely shot themselves in the foot a number of times in that game. They nearly rallied from a 31-7 halftime deficit, as they lost 28-31. They outgained FSU 558 to 432. 

NC State is coming off a bit of a fluke win and cover over Duke, but the even bigger story is the injury suffered to starting quarterback Devin Leary. He had really been carrying this offense. Pretty big dropoff from him to backup Bailey Hockman and that's a problem because NC State must have success throwing to have any shot of keeping this close. 

That's because UNC is going to score at will against this NC State defense. While they haven't been terrible defensively in their last 3 games, those were against some sub-par offenses in Pitt, Virginia and Duke. In their first two games they gave up 42 to Wake Forest and 45 to Va Tech. I see the Tar Heels hitting 40+ in this one. Give me UNC -14.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Baylor vs Texas
Texas
-8½ -111 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* BAYLOR/TEXAS NCAAF ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas -8.5) 

I think this is the perfect time to buy low on Texas. The Longhorns come into this game off back-to-back heartbreaking losses. First it was a 31-33 defeat at TCU, where Texas had 1st and Goal with 2.5 mins to play and proceeded to fumble to all but end the game. In their next game they fell 45-53 in 4 OT against rival Oklahoma.  

The Longhorns have went from being ranked inside the Top 10 to not even ranked at all.  It’s like everyone has forgot about this team. Even the betting public wants nothing to do with them, as close to 70% of the early action has been on Baylor. Some of that has to do with the line, but the books aren’t stupid. I believe they set a big number here knowing the Bears are going to have a hard time keeping this close.  

I just don’t know what the public sees in this Baylor team. The Bears have only played two games because of covid. They opened with a 47-14 win over Kansas and then lost in 2OT 21-27 at West Virginia.  

Their 47-14 blowout win over the Jayhawks looks a lot like what others are doing against Kansas, but that was a misleading score. Baylor had 2 kickoff return TDs, a safety and scored a garbage TD up 40-14 in the final 5 minutes of the 4th quarter.  What really stands out to me is they only outgained Kansas 352 to 328. In the Jayhawks two other conference games, they were outgained 593 to 193 by Oklahoma State and 544 to 157 by West Virginia.  

Also, they were lucky to get to OT in their loss to the Mountaineers. They trailed 14-7 with 1:51 to play in the 4th quarter. At that time they only had 172 yards of total offense. Baylor caught a big break in that late scoring drive to force OT. Baylor would have had 4th and 10, but an unnecessary roughness penalty gave them a 1st down.

I just don’t think the Bears are going to be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Texas is going to score. Longhorns are averaging 49.5 ppg and 495 ypg. Note that’s come against opponents that are only giving up on average 30.4 ppg and 384 ypg. Give me Texas -8.5.  

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
West Virginia vs Texas Tech
Texas Tech
+3½ -110 at Buckeye
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* W VIRGINIA/TEXAS TECH *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Texas Tech +3.5) 

The fact that this line is close to a pick'em says a lot, as the Red Raiders come in at 1-3, while the Mountaineers are sitting at 3-1. The thing with West Virginia and their 3-1 start is they had a cupcake game to open the season against EKU. Their other two wins are at home against Baylor and Kansas, who look like the two worst teams in the Big 12. 

The only decent team they faced was Oklahoma State and they lost by 14. Note that's a Cowboys team that while undefeated has not looked very good and was without starting quarterback Spencer Sanders. 

Texas Tech's first 3 conference games were at home against Texas (should have won,but lost in OT) and then on the road against K-State and Iowa State. This is going to be the best offense West Virginia has seen by a landslide, especially in terms of quarterback play. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me Texas Tech +3.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Auburn vs Ole Miss
Ole Miss
+3½ -114 at Draft Kings
Lost
$114.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* AUBURN/OLE MISS NCAAF *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Ole Miss +3.5) 

I love the value here with the Rebels catching more than a field goal at home against Auburn. I don't know why this Tigers team gets so much love, but to me they just aren't that great of a team. They had their hands full with Kentucky in their opener at home, were dominated at Georgia, should have lost at home to Arkansas and lost on the road at South Carolina. 

While Ole Miss is 1-3, two of their losses are two Alabama and Florida. They had a heartbreaking 1-point loss at Kentucky and last week lost 21-33 at Arkansas. The loss to the Razorbacks doesn't look great, but it was to be expected coming off that emotional loss to the Crimson Tide. Definitely didn't help matters that they turned it over 7 times. 

I look for Lane Kiffin's offense to get back on track in this one. Auburn has only forced 1 turnover in their last 3 games combined and are far from a juggernaut on the defensive side. Also, as bad as Ole Miss' defense is, I think they can get some stops against Bo Nix and that Tigers offense. Give me the Rebels +3.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Michigan vs Minnesota
Michigan
-3 -110 at William Hill
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* MICHIGAN/MINNESOTA NCAAF STEAMROLLER (Michigan -3) 

I just feel the price here is too good to pass up with Michigan laying just 3-points on the road. It feels like this is the least hyped the Wolverines have been going into a season in the Harbaugh era. It's a little surprising, as it finally appears like they have found an elite QB to guide their offense after getting lackluster play at the position the last 5 years. 

All I hear is praise around Joe Milton and if what is being said holds true, Michigan could be a team to look out for in 2020. I know they lost some guys at wide receiver, but more times than not a good QB will make receivers look good and there's definitely talent at the position. It should also open up more running lanes. 

The other big thing for me, is I think Minnesota comes in way overvalued after finishing 11-2 last year. That was so much more about how easy the schedule was for the Gophers than them being elite. We saw that in their regular season finale, as they lost 38-17 at home to Wisconsin with a trip to the Big Ten title game on the line. 

Last year Minnesota's strength of schedule ranked around 60, while Michigan had one of the 10 toughest schedules in the country. Give me the Wolverines -3! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina
-6 -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* GA SOUTHERN/C CAROLINA NCAAF SHARP STAKE (Coastal Carolina -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Chanticleers laying less than a touchdown at home against Georgia Southern. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of this Coastal Carolina team in their last two games, which saw them knock off two of the top teams in the Sun Belt in Arkansas State and Louisiana. 

The Chanticleers are absolutely dominating the time of possession and should be able to do just that against the Eagles. Don't be fooled by Georgia Southern's defense coming in only giving up 19.0 ppg, as their opponents so far on average are only scoring 15.5 ppg. 

A lot of people want to point to how they almost won on the road against Louisiana, but I'm not as sold on the Ragin' Cajuns as others. The game I focus more on is the Eagles mere 27-26 win at home over Campbell. Note that Ga Southern trailed 20-6 in the 2nd half of that game. 

That's a Campbell team that Coastal dominated from the start and has since lost by 31 to App State (21-52) and 52 at Wake Forest (14-66). 

While traction is starting to grow on the Chanticleers, I still think there's value with this team right now. Give me Coastal Carolina -6! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Georgia Tech vs Boston College
Boston College
-4 -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* BOSTON COLLEGE/GA TECH NCAAF ATS MASSACRE (Boston College -4)

I'll lay the short number here with the Eagles at home against the Yellow Jackets. Both of these teams are coming off a lopsided loss last week. Georgia Tech was obliterated at home by Clemson 73-7, while BC lost 40-14 at Virginia Tech. 

Thing is the Yellow Jackets 66-point loss was every bit as bad as it looked, and really could have been a lot worse. Clemson had 52-points at the half of that game and outgained Ga Tech by 567 yards. 

BC on the other hand was simply done in by turnovers, as they were -5 in that department against the Hokies. Eagles were only outgained 461 to 435 and had 24 first downs to Va Techs 23. Jurkovec is arguably the best QB in the country that not everyone knows about. He threw for 345 yards and 2 scores last week and ranks 5th in the country in passing in 2020 with 1,526 yards. 

Georgia Tech has faced two QBs ahead of Jurkovec in UCF's Gabriel and Clemson's Lawrence. Both times they gave up over 400 passing yards. I just don't think a turnover prone Yellow Jackets offense will be able to keep pace in this one. Give me Boston College -4! 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!