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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Cincinnati vs SMU
Cincinnati
+2½ -102 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Cincinnati D is tops in the  AAC, ranking first  in both total and scoring defense while giving up just 12.3 points per game and are well rested as they have been off since Oct 3. Thats extremely important vs a explosive SMU offense that ranks among the top attacks in the nation. However, that offense Im betting will not be as efficient here this week against this type of D, and with receiver Reggie Roberson and starting running back TJ McDaniel out will find themselves less fluid. These teams have played very closely contested games in recent meetings, and Im sure another one is at hand, but my projections make the Bearcats the superior tea, and with the wrong side favored will take a stance with the points. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Tulane vs Central Florida
OVER 70 -108 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Knights behind the big arm of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who became the first UCF signal-caller to throw for over 500 yards last Saturday against Memphis Im betting will once again be ready to explode on offense vs a suspect Tulane D. Meanwhile, Tulane also has a top tier dual threat QB in Michael Pratt who Im betting will also tee off on a UCF D that ranks 74th in total defense out of 77 FBS teams. 

Play on the OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest
Wake Forest
+10½ -107 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

After a muted 13-point effort  against Clemson to open the season, the Demon Deacon offense has  looked explosive . Wake Forests QB Hartman,  has been in top form in his last three tilts,  connecting through the air for an average of  9.0 yards per attempt with no interceptions. Thats the kind of team and QB you want to back as underdogs getting points. My own projections make this to many points for Vtech to be favored by, and Im buying in to the Deacons ability to cover vs a side that has failed to cover its last 4 in back to back road games.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State
OVER 51½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

Iowa State has proven they can put points on the board vs decent defense popping 37 on TCU and 37 on Oklahoma, and have also shown that their D, is average at best allowing UL Lafayette , TCU and Oklahoma to score 30 points or more. I know Oklahoma State has held both Kansas and Tulsa to 7 points, but Iowa State wont be held down and Im projecting them to put at least 27 points on the board in a closely contested affair, that Im betting eclipses this total.

OKLAHOMA ST is 9-1 OVER  in home games vs. struggling  passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 77.7 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 37-9 OVER in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 72.4 ppg scored. Oklahoma State is 10-0 OVER L/10 coming off a road game where they scored at least five points more than the team total with a combined average of 81.6 ppg scored.  

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Texas State vs BYU
UNDER 60½ -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

The Cougars are averaging 3.2 sacks per game, which is 15th-best in the nation. They have 16 sacks through five games. Im betting Texas States offense ill have issues flowing in this tilt. BYU’s defense is allowing 14 points per game. Meanwhile, after annihilating Houston on the road last week Im betting this will be a game where alot of starters get rested as they game progresses, as bigger fish are on deck. This Im betting results in a more muted effort offensively from the Cougars in a game that they will use like a week off. 

TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more  rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg going on the board. TEXAS ST is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season with a combined average of 50.2 ppg. TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 48.9 ppg going on the board.

BYU is 0-13-1 UNDER as a favorite coming off a game where they covered by at least five points with the highest combined score total coming in at 59 points and. the overall combined average score clicking in at 41.9 ppg.BYU is 7-0 UNDER off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Houston vs Navy
Navy
+15 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Navy at 3-0 in AAC play is huge underdog here at home. I know Navy does not look as cohesive as past carnations of this program, but Houston is over rated as well, as was evident when BYU ran over them as visitors , and that fact the team has given up as many yards as they have accumulated. With that said, and knowing how Military colleges dont take to being embarrassed or disrespected by the linesmakers, Ill make a stand here with the Middies and the points. 

NAVY is 9-2 ATS  against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS  after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Navy is 11-0 ATS L/12 as a dog facing a team allowing at least 29 points per game. The only 3 losses in this set came by 3 points exact. 

Play on Navy to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Louisiana Tech vs UTSA
Louisiana Tech
-2 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

UTSA has played valiantly of late, however, putting in so much hard work and still losing, three straight they are now exhausted. Army was last weeks opponent and before that BYU and UAB on the road. Those were all physical grinding affairs, and now against a hungry LATech squad, off an embarrassing 35-17 home loss to Marshall last time out, Im betting they wont have the needed energy to get across the finish line again. 

Louisiana Tech is 12-0 ATS/SU  as a favorite coming off a home loss where they scored less than 35 points.  

UTSA is 0-6 ATS  after playing 2 straight non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on LA Tech 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Utah State vs Boise State
Boise State
-16½ -109 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Broncos have owned this series against the Aggies clicking on 16 of the L/17 meetings straight up and have been an ATM for their betting backers cashing on 13 of those games against the spread. Last season when these teams met at Utah State the Broncos teed of on the Aggies winning by a 56-21 count and that was with Utah States star QB in the lineup (Jordan Love).  I know the Aggies will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting Bryan Harsins group just don't have  same quality guns as the Broncos needed to get the job done. Key: .QB  Bachmeier started eight games as a true freshman last season. He recorded  a 7-1 record as a starter and threw for 1,879 yards and 9 touchdowns while completing 63 percent of his passes and today Im betting he continues his ascension. 

Play on Boise State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Syracuse vs Clemson
Syracuse
+46½ -110 at William Hill
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Hey dont get me wrong with this selection on Syracuse getting points. The Orange are bad and play with little emotion or concentration, but from a mathematical perspective we have some slight value with the underdog. It must be noted that the Cuse have covered 2 of their L/3 visits to Death Valley. Also when considering  Tigers HC Swinney  is a logistics and  tactical specialist ( meaning he knows how to preserve and maintain the health and energy of his team during a season) . This mind set from one of football top coaches gives credence to us seeing him doing  just enough here to get the W as bigger fish are on deck. 

Babers is 9-2 ATS  in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE.

CFB Home favorites of 31.5 or more points (CLEMSON) - excellent punt return team, more than 12 yards per return are 7-30 L/10 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Syracuse Orange to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
South Carolina vs LSU
LSU
-5½ -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Missouri according to my power rankings is being over rated here today. Yes, they beat Auburn last time out, but despite of getting the W, they were out yarded by a  481-297 count, which tells a truer tale of their abilities . Here today vs a very hungry defending national champion Im betting their vulnerabilities will be exposed.  

Missouri is 0-6-1 L/7 in this series vs LSU. 

LSU is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons.

Defending National Champions are 50-9-1 SU in games with a below .500  record, including 9-1 ATS in conference games. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - struggling  defensive team (440 or more  YPG) against an average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-7 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg.

CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more  PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 31-8 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.8 ppg. 

Play on LSU to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2020
Baylor vs Texas
Baylor
+9½ -110 at William Hill
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Texas has fallen in my power rankings thanks in part to a defense that has allowed 456 yards and 36 points per game. Meanwhile, Baylor  is up-trending and took out  Texas, 24-10, in Waco last season and are  9-3 ATS in their  last 12 visits  to Austin. I know the Longhonrs have revenge on board, but the way they are playing nothing will come easy for them , thus getting points here makes for a viable wager. 

TEXAS is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 season.  Herman is 0-8 ATS  in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of TEXAS. 

BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.( Failed to cover their last time out on Oct 3 to W.Virginia is. a 27-21 loss)

CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, in the second half of the season are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB college football home favorite like Texas with a week of rest in Game Five if they allow 30 or more points per game are just 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons. 

Play on Baylor to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.