1* FREE PLAY Ottawa. 

We think the 8-9 Senators are worth the price of admission here on the road vs. the 7-13-3-1 Blue Jackets. Both teams have struggled this year, but we feel this is a bad matchup for the home side. The Sens return home for a game vs. Seattle tomorrow, so they won't be taking anything for granted here. Columbus is off the 4-2 loss here to Montreal, and all signs point to a similar result here vs. this other Canadian team on Friday night; consider the Senators!

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10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM)

This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York!

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10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH)

Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State!

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10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM)

The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies!

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10* Leafs (ASSASSIN)

"Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor for teams. Sometimes it can be overrated, other times though it plays a crucial role in the outcome. It can also be an important tool for handicappers to utilize when it comes to assessing the motivation levels of a team. This particular play is based primarily on the "revenge" factor, with Toronto falling 3-2 in a shootout in Boston back in early November. Off b2b wins, we're looking for the Leafs to exact some revenge here at home; great line value here on Toronto!

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10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY)

The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence!

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8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH)

The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman!

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10* Burnley (EPL GOM)

Both teams are coming off home losses in their most recent EPL action. Sheffield United though has struggled with consistency away from from friendly confines this year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in this one. Burnely is just 1-11 and has yet to win at home. That's going to change here though against 1-2-10 Sheffield. The Blades are terrible and Burnely will be risking life and limb to snap this brutal slide; lay the price, the play is indeed on Burnley!

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10* Tulane (AAC GOM)

Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave!

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10* OVER Toledo/Miami Ohio (MAC TOM)

Pretty low total here, and we think it is in fact MUCH too low. Miami Ohio is 10-2 and Toledo is 11-1. These teams played in Week 8 and Toledo won 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. a conference opponent. Miami Ohio saw the total go "under" in three straight to end the regular season, which is also significant to note here, as the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Toledo has scored a combined 144 points over its last four games and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!"

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