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Will Rogers Will Rogers
It has not been a great week in the neighborhood, although I'm 8-3 L11 on my 10* plays! Look for a solid Sunday & a better week ahead. A reminder that I ended last NFL season on a SIZZLING 22-8 run!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 06, 2022
Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-165 at SC Consensus
Lost
$165.0
Play Type: Free

A pair of right-handers face off as the road-weary Rockies meet the D-backs in Arizona. The Rockies have lost 5 of 6 on the road. The Diamondbacks aren’t much better, but did win the opener on Friday. Neither team’s starters have been effective lately, however Arizona is at least getting excellent relief pitching . The Rockies’ pen is scrambling.

Merrill Kelly has been the exception for the D-backs, and has been exceptional of late. He is 4-1, 1.90 over his last 7 starts. With 6 starts in July, he averaged 7 innings per appearance, and shut out both the Braves and the Giants in his last two games.

Senzatella has not been quite as solid. After missing time in July on the IL, he has started three times, allowing 3 ER over 5 or 6 innings in each appearance. Oddly, Senzatella’s pitching stats are far worse away from Coors Field.

The Diamondbacks’ offense, while on the lower end of the hitting spectrum, is better vs. right-handed pitching. The Rockies’ hitting stats are quite a bit worse when away from Coors Field. With Senzatella likely lasting around 5 innings, that Rockies’ weak relief pitching underbelly will be exposed. The D-backs are a modest favorite today and rightly so. Merrill Kelly appears to be the real thing as pitchers go. Take Arizona to win game two at home today.

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 06, 2022
Padres vs Dodgers
UNDER 9 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

While the Dodgers and to a lesser extent, the new, improved Paderes are hitting the ball hard at the moment, the pitching has also been excellent.  The Padres' starter Clevinger's last three starts have been spot on.  He has shown great control while giving up just 4 runs over his last 20 innings pitched.  He matches up against lefty Andrew Heaney who has been on the IL for much of the year, but when he has pitched, he has been exceptional with an ERA of 0.77 for the season.  His starts are short as he builds up his arm strength, but with a bullpen like the Dodgers' (2.27 ERA L15 games), it is hardly an obstacle.

In spite of all the big bats on these two teams, the Padres and Dodgers have a history of frequent low scoring games.  Saturday's total is generous.  Both starters have been excellent and the relief pitching on both sides has been light-out of late.  Take Saturday's total to go under. 9*.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 06, 2022
Yankees vs Cardinals
OVER 8 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The 1-3 Yankees have given up a ton of runs (25) in those last three losses. They aren’t as overpowering on the road or in the last month, but still have that formidable offense, which improved at the trade deadline. It has been the starters who have faltered; the pen is still sharp.

The Cardinals swept the Cubs, and have won 6 of 7, allowing 3 runs or less in all of those wins. While the Cardinal starters have been very fine, the pen has been just average.

Right-hander Germaine starts for the Yankees. He has just three starts since returning from the long term IL, but has shown improvement in each start. At this point he won’t be pitching for length, and opposing batters have hit him to the tune of .286 BA.

Lefty Montgomery start for the Cardinals, no doubt still in shock from his surprise trade. He hasn’t pitched well in his last two starts, giving up 8 runs over 6+ innings. It is hard to know how Montgomery will react, but again I am not expecting a long start on Saturday.

The Cardinals are top five in offense, and almost a match for the Yankees in OPS at the moment. I am not counting on a great outing from Montgomery and the Cards will get their hacks vs Germaine. With a modest total tomorrow, I’m wagering on the over.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 07, 2022
Pirates vs Orioles
Orioles
-1½ +115 at linepros
Play Type: Top Premium

The young and surprising Orioles' bats are sizzling at the moment, best in the league over the last week.  Even after selling at the deadline, they are still a possibility for a wild card spot, and are not giving up.  They have a very good record at home, and after winning 5 straight, should not be underestimated.  Watkins starts for the Orioles.  He has a 2.65 ERA in his last 7 starts and has given up just 5 runs over 16 innings in his last three appearances.  The Orioles are still getting very fine bullpen support.

The Pirates had Milwaukee's number but have struggled otherwise.  The offense has been an issue all season.  After losing the first two games to the Orioles, Wilson (1-6, 6.20) is an unlikely candidate to right the ship today.  He won't pitch for length and has had hard contact from batters all season.  The Pirates are not strong on the road, and have struggled against right handers lately.  With the superior offense, great momentum and a better starting pitcher today, I am wagering on the Orioles, a heavy favorite, to win today.  Take them on the run line; this team can hit. 9 stars.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 07, 2022
Red Sox vs Royals
Red Sox
-134 at linepros
Play Type: Top Premium

The Red Sox are just 5-5 and have lost 2 of 3 on the road vs the Royals. They are usually effective on the road, and have a good chance of evening up the series on Sunday. Kutter Crawford, a reliever recently turned starter, now has 6 starts under his belt. He has been effective, probably better than any other Sox pitcher lately, and is stretched out to 6 inning starts. He has given up just 1 run in each of his last 2 starts. The Royals have never faced Crawford.

Keller starts for the Royals. He has struggled to a 5.21 ERA in his last 7 starts. He was hit very hard in his last start against the White Sox, allowing 13 hits and 8 runs over 5.2 innings. The Red Sox have hit Keller very hard when they faced him previously.

The Sox aren’t hitting especially well at the moment, but still have the potential for a high total against Keller.. The Royals have lost some significant players at the trade deadline and this will start to show. Neither bullpen is special. I am wagering on the Crawford, the better starter, and the Red Sox to win on Sunday.

SERVICE BIO

Age: 59 

Will Rogers believes that there is always value somewhere, and he wants to help you find it. Rogers is here to serve as your personal guide through the world of sports investing. He will help you navigate through both opportunities and pitfalls with the one goal to help you make money. 

These are some of the many attributes Rogers brings to the table.

Success: A proven winner in every walk of life.

Vision: A laser-like ability to focus on relevant data.     

Resources: A team of proven handicappers.  A vast network of contacts. 

Background

Rogers has worked hard his entire life and he's achieved success at every level. Five years in university. Five years in research. quantitative analysis. Twenty five years in his second passion of running high-end kitchens. He's rubbed shoulders with the rich and big players. Royalty, sometimes. He's built and motivated kitchen brigades. He's taken the heat and he's delivered the product. 

Before committing to sports investing full-time Rogers was working as a trouble shooter.  He was analyzing and resolving issues in failing workplaces. Rogers' career was intense and pressure-filled but he never stopped loving or following sports. With the advent of the Internet, participating in fantasy pools and investing in sports was a natural progression. Success followed. 

Achievements In Handicapping

Rogers officially turned "pro" in 2013. Since then, he's found success in EVERY sport. Right off the bat, his 2013 NHL season was nothing short of phenomenal. He won 67% of ALL plays (for the season!), going 97-48-4 and finishing +$24,786 in net profit! But many consider his most impressive achievement to date to be his incredible performance in the 2014 NFL playoffs. He was 18-3 overall, showing profits of more than +$13,000, and of course he had the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. Not to be outdone, in 2015, Rogers put together an outstanding College Football regular season (+$13,944).Most recently, NBA was Rogers' biggest MONEY-MAKER! He just finished the (2016-17) season by going 116-67-6 with sides and on an overall 17-7 playoff run (4-1 Finals).For whatever reason, May has ALWAYS been Rogers "time of year." 2016 saw him turn a $25,358 profit for the month. Incredibly, May of '17 was EVEN MORE PROFITABLE at $27,960.But even though NBA is now over, don't expect the profits to stop ROLLING in. Rogers has been *ON FIRE* throughout the first half of the MLB season!

Money Management/Rating Of Games

Rogers takes a conservative long-term approach to investing on sports.  He has seen too many sharp handicappers done in by mismanaging their money. 

He's not interested in unnecessary risk and/or high volatility. He's confident in his abilities.  But, he keeps his wager sizes to a small percentage of his bankroll and consistent.  He's content in the knowledge that his long-term strategy will produce profits. 

A 10* rated play represents 0.5 percent of his bankroll. 

Systems Used For Handicapping Games

Rogers and his team take pride in their day-to-day knowledge about every team on the board. They have a wide variety of proven handicapping techniques in their arsenal. Knowing when to utilize and employ is key. Quite frankly, methods will vary from day-to-day, sport-to-sport and week-to-week. Nothing works forever. An ability to shift on the fly and to adjust to changing market conditions keeps the Rogers' group ahead of the curve. 

Quote: "Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there."